Land use modeling for population growth a case study of Skudai town

Abstract

Demand for transportation is one of the major issues in Malaysia. There are several factors which likely to influence the demand for transportation over large geographic interest. Therefore, a study is conducted to estimate the population growth pattern in the future. The main objective of this study is to establish predictive models for Skudai Town in difference time period. Four parameters were indentified as the main elements that influence the development of that particular town. These four indicators are land value, accessibility of employment, holding capacity and percentage of relative growth. The study design is adapted from a hypothetical town transportation planning study in England. The linear regression model is applied in developing the predictive model for the study area. Since the land area is finite, a log transformation of linear regression is applied. At the end of this study, several tests such as t-test, R2 and F –statistics are applied to test the predictive models and the factor that influence the population growth is also identified.