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Analysing impact of climate change on hydrological trend in Kelantan river basin using HEC-HMS coupled with SDSM

Armain, Muhammad Zahran Syahmi and Hassan, Zulkarnain and Mohd. Arif Zainol, Mohd. Remy Rozainy and Harun, Sobri and Kamarudzaman, Ain Nihla and Mohd. Zaini Makhtar, Salwa (2023) Analysing impact of climate change on hydrological trend in Kelantan river basin using HEC-HMS coupled with SDSM. In: 5th International Conference on Water Resources, ICWR 2021, 23 November 2021 - 25 November 2021, Virtual, UTM Johor Bahru, Johor, Malaysia.

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Official URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-981-99-3577-2_2

Abstract

Climate change dramatically alters many hydrologic systems, which affects the availability of water and leads to runoff and river discharge. This study assessed the effects of the future scenario of climate change on the monthly river discharge of the Kelantan River Basin, Malaysia. Statistical DownScaling model (SDSM) was used to downscale the rainfall from large climate variables of the second-generation Canadian Earth System Model (CanESM2) under the Representative Concentration Pathways of 8.5 (RCP 8.5) and project future river discharge using the Hydrologic Modeling System (HEC-HMS). From this study, the monthly rainfall and river discharge over the Kelantan River basin will be significantly reduced in the future by 30 and 50% compared to the current period.

Item Type:Conference or Workshop Item (Paper)
Uncontrolled Keywords:CanESM2, HEC-HMS, hydrology, Kelantan river basin, rainfall, statistical downscaling model
Subjects:T Technology > TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
Divisions:Civil Engineering
ID Code:108151
Deposited By: Yanti Mohd Shah
Deposited On:20 Oct 2024 08:01
Last Modified:20 Oct 2024 08:01

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